Sunday, November 4, 2012

Evidence that Apple is doomed?

The king is dead!  God save the King?

We should say "God save his kingdom". 

There are numerous examples in history that an empire did not prevail the death of its emperor.  The empire of Alexander the Great is one of the most notorious.

Why?

Vision!

There is a lot of technocrats in this world.  But there is very little people with vision.  People that are able to foresee where the future lies.  Alexander the Great had a vision.  Just what ever it was will be forever lost in his mind.  The idea of a whole human unification into one great empire?  Or just mere personal greed?  We shall never know for sure.  But he had a vision that is for sure.  Just before he died, on his death bed, he left his empire "to the ablest".  What did he means by that?  No one know for sure.  The strongest?  The ablest in military art?  Or perhaps the one that shall have the broader vision?

Apple is an empire that lost its leader.  Have you seen Apple's advertizing lately?  They are selling colors!  That's it!  The plain good old ipone with some technological improvement I'll grant them that. The same good old iPad, same good old iPod.  And the iStore that goes with it.  But what else?  The only things I see in the advertizing is that the products are sold in multiple colors now.

Woohoo!  What an improvement.

Those people are good at what they are doing.  They are good marketing people.  Good at keeping books.  Good at managing a business.  They are good technocrats. But they are no visionaries.

The king is dead.  The soul of the kingdom is dead with him.  Now they carry on a borrowed time.  And without a genuine Jobs like idea to propel it further.  It is just a question of time before in crumble.

And history repeats itself.  When they first fired Jobs, the company went to hell.  Why?  They thought they were selling technology.  And they thought they could sell it on their own.  Without the help of the king.  They were wrong.  They were selling a vision.  A way of life with technology.  They had to call him back to save the company.  And he did. But now its going to be a little harder to bring him back.

The flaw is in the passing of command.  Most kings, emperors, CEOs, are getting busy in conquering the world.  They have few time, if any, to consolidate and master a plan to pass the soul to the next generation.  To pass the grand thought, the grand idea.  Then the empire falls with the death of its ruler.

I shall make another post on how to gather vision and pass it along.

But for Apple.  I see it doomed.  It is just a question of time.  If nothing is done to brings it back as the leader of thought, leader of technological vision it was.  And just as the fall of the Roman Empire.  The place left with be taken by several regional kingdoms.  Or several technological competitors and start-ups as we shall say in our modern times.  Until one day. Another Cesar will rise.  Another Alexander the Great.  Another Jobs or Gates.  And that person, with his vision, shall bring our world once again to the next level.

And we shall call him or her: a "genius".  Just as we did with Jobs.

Some further proof of the imminent fall of Apple:

In the elevator to hell its... going down!

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